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Old 09-14-2017, 00:29   #1
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Game Two Starters

In some ways, C.J. Wilson and Matt Cain are polar opposites. Wilsons a lefty, while Cain throws together with his right hand. Cain throws a ton of fastballs, while Wilson has Thurston Armbrister Jersey basically abandoned his this season. Wilson is really a guy who receives a large amount of grounders, while Cain is one of the most prolific flyball pitchers in the game.
In the way they achieved succe s this season, however, they're quite similar. Cain had the fifth-lowest BABIP (.260) of any starter within the National League. Wilsons .271 BABIP was fifth lowest in the American League. His 5.3% HR/FB rate was lower than every other qualified AL starter, and while Cains 7.4% rate was Mike James Jersey only the 12th lowest within the NL, hes posted well below-average rates in every single year of his career.
Both of these guys kept runs off the board by getting people to hit the ball in their defenders and by keeping their fly balls within the yard. As any regular FanGraphs reader let you know, Graham Glasgow Jersey these aren't things that are often considered repeatable skills, as history has shown that most pitchers simply cant sustain the sorts of performances these guys put up this year.
In Don Carey Jersey fact, when skeptics of xFIP want to explain why they dont like the metric, Cain is invariably the very first guy they point to. His career 3.45 ERA is almost a complete run lower than his 4.43 xFIP, and also at 1,100 innings pitched, the sample dimensions are getting fairly large. For various reasons, some of which we know (park effects, batted-ball profile) and a few which we dont, Cains continually outperformed his peripherals. Wilson seemed to be in a position to pull that off this season, though he clearly doesnt Brandon Thomas Jersey have Cains track record at succeeding this way.
The differences will be obvious. The similarities will be a bit more subtle. But, ultimately, it ought to be a good match-up and a fun game to look at.
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